When: Thursday 1st March 2018, 13:00-14:00.
Included in meeting:
The fortnightly BRAG meeting will be held 01/03/18 at 1pm in room Y801. This week we will have presentations by Paul and Aswi.
Title: An introduction to hidden markov models and their application in sports
Abstract: Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have been around since the 1960s. This talk gives a brief introduction to the basic elements of HMMs, inference, and how they might be used as illustrated with an example from sports..
Title: Comparing Spatio-Temporal models using CARBayes: An application to dengue fever in Makassar, Indonesia
Abstract: Considering only the spatial component of diseases can identify regions with low or high risk, but not capture anything about temporal variation of risk which could be more or equally crucial. This talk outlines the comparison of six spatiotemporal models. Models were run using CARBayes and compared using goodness-of-fit measures, such as Deviance Information Criterion. Annual dengue fever incidence data for Makassar, Indonesia (14 geographic areas) during 2002-2015 was used. Among these models, the spatio-temporal conditional autoregressive localised model had better fit.
We look forward to seeing you all there!
Farzana and Trish